A strong correlation between adopting the virtues and established methods of rationality, and an increased quality of life, but yeah; more handwavey.
I don’t even know what calculations could be made. That’s sorta why I’m here.
If you’re not doing calculations then you are not doing “Bayesian Rationality”. Therefore, you very likely cannot explain to someone how “Bayesian Rationality” has worked out for you.
I see Bayesian Rationality as a methodology as much as it is a calculation.
It’s being aware of our own prior beliefs, the confidence intervals of those beliefs, keeping those priors as close to the base rates as possible, being cognizant of how our biases can influence our perception of all this, trying to mitigate the effects of those biases, and updating based on the strength of evidence.
I’m trying to get better at math so I can do better calculations. It’s a major flaw in my technique I acknowledge and am trying to change.
But as you noted earlier, none of this answers my question.
If I am not currently practicing your art, and you believe your art is good, what evidence do you have to support that claim?
Are you using calculations, or something more hand wavey?
A strong correlation between adopting the virtues and established methods of rationality, and an increased quality of life, but yeah; more handwavey. I don’t even know what calculations could be made. That’s sorta why I’m here.
If you’re not doing calculations then you are not doing “Bayesian Rationality”. Therefore, you very likely cannot explain to someone how “Bayesian Rationality” has worked out for you.
I see Bayesian Rationality as a methodology as much as it is a calculation. It’s being aware of our own prior beliefs, the confidence intervals of those beliefs, keeping those priors as close to the base rates as possible, being cognizant of how our biases can influence our perception of all this, trying to mitigate the effects of those biases, and updating based on the strength of evidence.
I’m trying to get better at math so I can do better calculations. It’s a major flaw in my technique I acknowledge and am trying to change.
But as you noted earlier, none of this answers my question. If I am not currently practicing your art, and you believe your art is good, what evidence do you have to support that claim?