Bravo and big upvote! Spinning out concrete scenarios like this is going to sharpen our collective thinking. Everyone should do this. I’ll take a shot at it soon.
I find the timeline highly plausible. In this world, though what happened to the rest that were months behind? Since it took a while to reach ASI, now we have to hope those are all aligned and well-used too—unless somebody halts those projects. Leading to the big question:
What is the government doing once AGI is achieved? Surely Trump isn’t keeping his little fingers off it.
These questions are for everyone as much as for Dave. After we’ve got some good scenarios-to-AGI in our collective minds, we should be better able to push past them to scenarios for impacts.
Bravo and big upvote! Spinning out concrete scenarios like this is going to sharpen our collective thinking. Everyone should do this. I’ll take a shot at it soon.
I find the timeline highly plausible. In this world, though what happened to the rest that were months behind? Since it took a while to reach ASI, now we have to hope those are all aligned and well-used too—unless somebody halts those projects. Leading to the big question:
What is the government doing once AGI is achieved? Surely Trump isn’t keeping his little fingers off it.
These questions are for everyone as much as for Dave. After we’ve got some good scenarios-to-AGI in our collective minds, we should be better able to push past them to scenarios for impacts.