Are you suggesting that you currently have a double digit percentage that there’s clear evidence of some form of nonhuman intelligence in the next five years (which would warrent the 5:1 odds)?
Not at all. But for a credible bet, I have to have some chance of paying out my losses. On the basis of lifetime earnings so far, even $500K is really pushing it. Promising to pay millions if I lose is not credible.
Are you suggesting that you currently have a double digit percentage that there’s clear evidence of some form of nonhuman intelligence in the next five years (which would warrent the 5:1 odds)?
Not at all. But for a credible bet, I have to have some chance of paying out my losses. On the basis of lifetime earnings so far, even $500K is really pushing it. Promising to pay millions if I lose is not credible.