Clause 3, which you quoted, is intended to come into effect only if clause 1 has not already come into effect
That’s written nowhere in the resolution criteria and something you made up yourself.
As written both #1 and #3 apply. I think reading the phrase “resolve in the negative to the dollar” as being about subtraction is a reasonable reading.
which would be appropriate because it precisley answers the actual question asked:
I don’t think a headline should be seen as “the actual question”. I think it makes more sense to see the resolution criteria as the actual question.
You seem to have different intuitions of how the question should be resolved then the Metaculus team or I myself have. It’s generally shouldn’t be surprising that different people have different intuitions.
“This question will resolve in the negative to the dollar amount awarded”
This is a clear, unambiguous statement.
If we can’t agree even on that, we have little hope of reaching any kind of satisfying conclusion here.
Further, if you’re going to accuse me of making things up (I think this is, in this case, a violation of the sensible frontpage commenting guideline “If you disagree, try getting curious about what your partner is thinking”) then I doubt it’s worth it to continue this conversation.
That’s written nowhere in the resolution criteria and something you made up yourself.
As written both #1 and #3 apply. I think reading the phrase “resolve in the negative to the dollar” as being about subtraction is a reasonable reading.
I don’t think a headline should be seen as “the actual question”. I think it makes more sense to see the resolution criteria as the actual question.
You seem to have different intuitions of how the question should be resolved then the Metaculus team or I myself have. It’s generally shouldn’t be surprising that different people have different intuitions.
“This question will resolve in the negative to the dollar amount awarded”
This is a clear, unambiguous statement.
If we can’t agree even on that, we have little hope of reaching any kind of satisfying conclusion here.
Further, if you’re going to accuse me of making things up (I think this is, in this case, a violation of the sensible frontpage commenting guideline “If you disagree, try getting curious about what your partner is thinking”) then I doubt it’s worth it to continue this conversation.