I can see zero-covid holding indefinitely. People here are fundamentally OK with daily COVID tests and 1, 2, maybe even 3 months of lockdown a year forever. There are limits to the infectiousness of diseases, and I don’t see any disease spreading in a condition of permanent lockdown.
Actually, now that I think about it, the most likely scenario is that China shuts down all incoming international travel permanently, even for Chinese citizens. Speaking of which, do we know how new cases are popping up in China? Surely it’s from international travel, right?
I can see zero-covid holding indefinitely. People here are fundamentally OK with daily COVID tests and 1, 2, maybe even 3 months of lockdown a year forever. There are limits to the infectiousness of diseases, and I don’t see any disease spreading in a condition of permanent lockdown.
Actually, now that I think about it, the most likely scenario is that China shuts down all incoming international travel permanently, even for Chinese citizens. Speaking of which, do we know how new cases are popping up in China? Surely it’s from international travel, right?