I would expect a very high proportion of near-misses to stay secret. You don’t make yourself look good by telling the world you nearly accidentally triggered an x-risk event. There’s a huge incentive to cover it up.
That is true. I think we know only 1 from 10 near-misses in nuclear weapons field.
Underreporting of near misses is well known problem in other domains
I would expect a very high proportion of near-misses to stay secret. You don’t make yourself look good by telling the world you nearly accidentally triggered an x-risk event. There’s a huge incentive to cover it up.
That is true. I think we know only 1 from 10 near-misses in nuclear weapons field. Underreporting of near misses is well known problem in other domains