If we knew with absolute certainty that there was only a single solar system and required far more specific circumstances, would you be equally unsurprised to be alive as compared to living in a vast multiverse where the requirements were very low?
Outaide view: if there’s no difference in your level of surprise it seems like something is going wrong in your reasoning.
There should be some amount of suspicion, and that amount should change based on how likely it was from the beginning. You update a certain amount based on the result, but you shouldn’t end up in the same probability distribution.
If we knew with absolute certainty that there was only a single solar system and required far more specific circumstances, would you be equally unsurprised to be alive as compared to living in a vast multiverse where the requirements were very low?
Outaide view: if there’s no difference in your level of surprise it seems like something is going wrong in your reasoning.
There should be some amount of suspicion, and that amount should change based on how likely it was from the beginning. You update a certain amount based on the result, but you shouldn’t end up in the same probability distribution.