His point about organizations being good at parallel, independantly verifiable tasks was interesting. It seems that much of human progress has consisted of
A very clever person working out how to do something once.
Another clever person working out how to break it down into 1000 steps that can be outsourced to ordinary people, enabling mass production at reasonable cost.
now we are beginning to replace the second step with
Another clever person works out how to code it up, enabling mass production at very low cost
but perhaps AGI will make the second step redundant. This would not only reduce “time to market”, but also allow a whole new class of innovations to be realized on a significant scale.
His point about organizations being good at parallel, independantly verifiable tasks was interesting. It seems that much of human progress has consisted of
A very clever person working out how to do something once.
Another clever person working out how to break it down into 1000 steps that can be outsourced to ordinary people, enabling mass production at reasonable cost.
now we are beginning to replace the second step with
Another clever person works out how to code it up, enabling mass production at very low cost
but perhaps AGI will make the second step redundant. This would not only reduce “time to market”, but also allow a whole new class of innovations to be realized on a significant scale.