I just wanted to say “thanks for actually doing an epistemic spot check here”. I think* I currently endorse John’s response explanation about why he doesn’t think “sharp increase in prisoners” is the thing to be looking for, but I think doing any kind of serious spot check is big chunk of work that’s often not as rewarding as it should be. Have a strong upvote.
I just wanted to say “thanks for actually doing an epistemic spot check here”. I think* I currently endorse John’s response explanation about why he doesn’t think “sharp increase in prisoners” is the thing to be looking for, but I think doing any kind of serious spot check is big chunk of work that’s often not as rewarding as it should be. Have a strong upvote.
+1