“If you want a sufficient response to optimism, consider: is the probability that you will persist forever 1? If not, it is 0.”
You’re only correct if the probability is constant with respect to time. Consider, however, that some uncertain events have a non-zero probability even if infinite time passes. For example, random walks in three dimensions (or more) are not guaranteed to meet their origin again, even over infinite time:
Zubon,
“If you want a sufficient response to optimism, consider: is the probability that you will persist forever 1? If not, it is 0.”
You’re only correct if the probability is constant with respect to time. Consider, however, that some uncertain events have a non-zero probability even if infinite time passes. For example, random walks in three dimensions (or more) are not guaranteed to meet their origin again, even over infinite time: