It’s possible for something to be evidence, without you being sure of which way it points. Suppose there is a room with a liar, who always, lies, and another who always tells the truth within. After you figure out who is who, past info from each may be interpreted.
Seems like “evidence” is a terrible word for the concept! “Data” is better, though “sensory data” is even less misleading while a bit clunkier, and “the set of propositions safely taken for granted” is the least misleading and the clunkiest.
Additionally: imagine the evidence appeared very quickly, and was about an emotionally charged subject. People might misremember the evidence as being one thing when it was actually something similar, but still different, and perhaps critically different. Shouldn’t it be regarded an extremely important Bayesian skill to correctly interpret and remember your experiences? Since they will be used to measure the correct amount of confidence in explanations.
It’s possible for something to be evidence, without you being sure of which way it points. Suppose there is a room with a liar, who always, lies, and another who always tells the truth within. After you figure out who is who, past info from each may be interpreted.
Seems like “evidence” is a terrible word for the concept! “Data” is better, though “sensory data” is even less misleading while a bit clunkier, and “the set of propositions safely taken for granted” is the least misleading and the clunkiest.
Additionally: imagine the evidence appeared very quickly, and was about an emotionally charged subject. People might misremember the evidence as being one thing when it was actually something similar, but still different, and perhaps critically different. Shouldn’t it be regarded an extremely important Bayesian skill to correctly interpret and remember your experiences? Since they will be used to measure the correct amount of confidence in explanations.