I’m pretty happy with how this post has aged. Good work, 2014-self! Clearly, you’re much more reliable than 2011-self! I also endorse Richard Kenneway’s comments if you want more rigor, though they might be a bit confusing if you forget the central point of “how you should update one hypothesis depends on what other hypotheses are competing with it.”
I’m pretty happy with how this post has aged. Good work, 2014-self! Clearly, you’re much more reliable than 2011-self! I also endorse Richard Kenneway’s comments if you want more rigor, though they might be a bit confusing if you forget the central point of “how you should update one hypothesis depends on what other hypotheses are competing with it.”