https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/politics-futures has a market for ”California Governor on 12/31/2021″, which should function as a great proxy for the chances of Newsom being recalled. They’re quoting .0625@? for the chance of Newsom not being governor on 12⁄31 (they accept bets on Newsom remaining governor, but not on Newsom being removed as governor, thus the ”?”)
https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/politics-futures has a market for ”California Governor on 12/31/2021″, which should function as a great proxy for the chances of Newsom being recalled. They’re quoting .0625@? for the chance of Newsom not being governor on 12⁄31 (they accept bets on Newsom remaining governor, but not on Newsom being removed as governor, thus the ”?”)
Thanks!