The article had experimentally found at least one way that might solive this problem, so that people presented with evidence against their position actually update correctly.
Are you thinking of the one where people updated only to consider dangers less likely than their initial estimate?
Are you thinking of the one where people updated only to consider dangers less likely than their initial estimate?
http://lesswrong.com/lw/814/interesting_article_about_optimism/
That’s not what I was thinking of, but interesting nonetheless.