We have no idea how consciousness work, how probabilities can be assigned on expectation of being a given person, or the expectation of experiencing something. “If there are a million ants for every living human being, why am I a person instead of an ant?” may be a meaningful question, or then again it may not.
But to answer your question, my expectation is that for the probability of ‘tropical paradise in one minute’ to exceed 50% the calculation of your simulated selves combined will need to take up a physical volume that exceeds the volume taken up by your current brain (or the portion of your current brain devoted to your consciousness).
We have no idea how consciousness work, how probabilities can be assigned on expectation of being a given person, or the expectation of experiencing something. “If there are a million ants for every living human being, why am I a person instead of an ant?” may be a meaningful question, or then again it may not.
But to answer your question, my expectation is that for the probability of ‘tropical paradise in one minute’ to exceed 50% the calculation of your simulated selves combined will need to take up a physical volume that exceeds the volume taken up by your current brain (or the portion of your current brain devoted to your consciousness).