If you stick with subjective probability, and assume an appropriate theory of mind, then your subjective probability of experiencing paradise would be about 1000/1001 in the first case, about 0 in the latter case.
If we’re talking about some sort of objective probability, then the answer depends on the details of which theory of mind turns out to be true.
If you stick with subjective probability, and assume an appropriate theory of mind, then your subjective probability of experiencing paradise would be about 1000/1001 in the first case, about 0 in the latter case.
If we’re talking about some sort of objective probability, then the answer depends on the details of which theory of mind turns out to be true.