A funny thing: The belief that governments won’t be able to make coordinated effective decisions to stop ASI, and the belief that progress won’t be made on various other important fronts, are probably related. I wonder if seeing the former solved will inspire people into thinking that the others are also more solvable than they may have otherwise thought. Per the UK speech at the UN, “The AI revolution will be a bracing test for the multilateral system, to show that it can work together on a question that will help to define the fate of humanity.” Making it through this will be meaningful evidence about the other hard problems that come our way.
A funny thing: The belief that governments won’t be able to make coordinated effective decisions to stop ASI, and the belief that progress won’t be made on various other important fronts, are probably related. I wonder if seeing the former solved will inspire people into thinking that the others are also more solvable than they may have otherwise thought. Per the UK speech at the UN, “The AI revolution will be a bracing test for the multilateral system, to show that it can work together on a question that will help to define the fate of humanity.” Making it through this will be meaningful evidence about the other hard problems that come our way.