Ah, you’re right that that the surrounding text is not an accurate paraphrase of the particular position in that quote.
The thing I was actually trying to show with the quotes is “AGI is necessary for a good future” is a common view, but the implicit and explicit time limits that are often attached to such views might be overly short. I think such views (with attached short time limits) are especially common among those who oppose an AI pause.
I actually agree that AGI is necessary (though not sufficient) for a good future eventually. If I also believed that all of the technologies here were as doomed and hopeless as the prospect of near-term alignment of an artificial superintelligence, I would find arguments against an AI pause (indefinite or otherwise) much more compelling.
Ah, you’re right that that the surrounding text is not an accurate paraphrase of the particular position in that quote.
The thing I was actually trying to show with the quotes is “AGI is necessary for a good future” is a common view, but the implicit and explicit time limits that are often attached to such views might be overly short. I think such views (with attached short time limits) are especially common among those who oppose an AI pause.
I actually agree that AGI is necessary (though not sufficient) for a good future eventually. If I also believed that all of the technologies here were as doomed and hopeless as the prospect of near-term alignment of an artificial superintelligence, I would find arguments against an AI pause (indefinite or otherwise) much more compelling.