You always have some context. Who’s asking, and what happens if you’re right or wrong? Or more generally, why did this come to mind as a prediction to make?
Which means you usually only need one level of meta. You have a distribution of distributions that you’ve come across. You can perhaps adjust it to a distribution of distributions for this category of question.
You always have some context. Who’s asking, and what happens if you’re right or wrong? Or more generally, why did this come to mind as a prediction to make?
Which means you usually only need one level of meta. You have a distribution of distributions that you’ve come across. You can perhaps adjust it to a distribution of distributions for this category of question.