After seeing the four examples (including one that didn’t fit) given, it didn’t even occur to me that someone could think the first one indicated a X-2X-3X pattern. It’s hard to tell what will confirm and what will disconfirm in such a broad space of possibilities.
A bit off topic but after numerous incidents of mocking Eliezer, Mencius Moldbug has launched a full-scale assault on Bayesianism. He hasn’t shown any inclination to post his critiques here, but perhaps some of the luminaries here could show him the error of his ways.
After seeing the four examples (including one that didn’t fit) given, it didn’t even occur to me that someone could think the first one indicated a X-2X-3X pattern. It’s hard to tell what will confirm and what will disconfirm in such a broad space of possibilities.
A bit off topic but after numerous incidents of mocking Eliezer, Mencius Moldbug has launched a full-scale assault on Bayesianism. He hasn’t shown any inclination to post his critiques here, but perhaps some of the luminaries here could show him the error of his ways.