What risks there are, we can collectively do things about.
Not necessarily. The risk might be virtually unstoppable, like a huge oil tanker compared to the force of a single person swimming in the water trying to slow it down.
What I mean is that, in my opinion, most of the risks under discussion are not like that. Large meteorites are a bit like that—but they are not very likely to hit us soon.
The usual Singularity Institute line is that it is worth trying too, I believe. As to what p(success) is, the first thing to do would be to make sure that the parties involved mean the same thing by “success”. Otherwise, comparing values would be rather pointless.
This all reminds me of the dirac delta function. Its width is infinitesimal but its area is 1. Sure, it’s worth trying in the “Dirac Delta Function” sense.
Not necessarily. The risk might be virtually unstoppable, like a huge oil tanker compared to the force of a single person swimming in the water trying to slow it down.
What I mean is that, in my opinion, most of the risks under discussion are not like that. Large meteorites are a bit like that—but they are not very likely to hit us soon.
Ok, I see. Well, that’s just a big factual disagreement then.
The usual Singularity Institute line is that it is worth trying too, I believe. As to what p(success) is, the first thing to do would be to make sure that the parties involved mean the same thing by “success”. Otherwise, comparing values would be rather pointless.
This all reminds me of the dirac delta function. Its width is infinitesimal but its area is 1. Sure, it’s worth trying in the “Dirac Delta Function” sense.