I shared this post with some of my friends and they pointed out that, as of 3/21/2020, the Italy and Spain curves no longer look as optimistic:
On March 16, cases in Italy appeared to be leveling off. Immediately following that, they broke trend and began rising again. March 16 had ~3200 daily cases. March 20 has ~6000.
Spain appeared to be leveling off up through March 17th (~1900 daily cases). But on March 18th, it spiked to ~3000. As of March 20th, things may be leveling off again but I wouldn’t draw any conclusions
Iran’s daily cases have stayed flat for a pretty long period of time now—at around 1000 per day. This seems like it should be good news, tho I’m not sure how good: Since March 8, Iran’s death rate (closed cases) has been steadily rising from 8% to 17.5%
I shared this post with some of my friends and they pointed out that, as of 3/21/2020, the Italy and Spain curves no longer look as optimistic:
On March 16, cases in Italy appeared to be leveling off. Immediately following that, they broke trend and began rising again. March 16 had ~3200 daily cases. March 20 has ~6000.
Spain appeared to be leveling off up through March 17th (~1900 daily cases). But on March 18th, it spiked to ~3000. As of March 20th, things may be leveling off again but I wouldn’t draw any conclusions
Iran’s daily cases have stayed flat for a pretty long period of time now—at around 1000 per day. This seems like it should be good news, tho I’m not sure how good: Since March 8, Iran’s death rate (closed cases) has been steadily rising from 8% to 17.5%
Yeah, that was optimistic, apparently. Woeful underreporting everywhere except Korea and less so Germany and Canada.