Again, there is nothing special about this. Given that I believe something, even without any consensus at all, I think my belief is more likely to be true than false. I expect this to apply to all domains, even ones that I have not studied. If I thought it did not apply to some domains, then I should reverse all of my beliefs about that domain, and then I would expect it to apply.
Again, there is nothing special about this. Given that I believe something, even without any consensus at all, I think my belief is more likely to be true than false. I expect this to apply to all domains, even ones that I have not studied. If I thought it did not apply to some domains, then I should reverse all of my beliefs about that domain, and then I would expect it to apply.
I never suggested that there was anything extraordinary about my claim (au contraire, it was quite intuitive) I do not think we disagree.