Hmmm...Ben Garfinkel? https://www.effectivealtruism.org/articles/ea-global-2018-how-sure-are-we-about-this-ai-stuffKatja Grace? https://worldspiritsockpuppet.com/2022/10/14/ai_counterargs.htmlScott Aaronson? https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Zqk4FFif93gvquAnY/scott-aaronson-on-reform-ai-alignmentI don’t know if any of these people would be confident AI won’t kill everyone, but they definitely seem to be smart/reasonable and disagreeing with the standard LW views.
Katja Grace’s p(doom) is 8% IIRC
Thanks for the links!
Ben Garfinkel: sure, I’ll pay out for this!
Katja Grace: good stuff, but previously claimed by Lao Mein.
Scott Aaronson: I read this as a statement of conclusions, rather than an argument.
Hmmm...
Ben Garfinkel? https://www.effectivealtruism.org/articles/ea-global-2018-how-sure-are-we-about-this-ai-stuff
Katja Grace? https://worldspiritsockpuppet.com/2022/10/14/ai_counterargs.html
Scott Aaronson? https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Zqk4FFif93gvquAnY/scott-aaronson-on-reform-ai-alignment
I don’t know if any of these people would be confident AI won’t kill everyone, but they definitely seem to be smart/reasonable and disagreeing with the standard LW views.
Katja Grace’s p(doom) is 8% IIRC
Thanks for the links!
Ben Garfinkel: sure, I’ll pay out for this!
Katja Grace: good stuff, but previously claimed by Lao Mein.
Scott Aaronson: I read this as a statement of conclusions, rather than an argument.