55-60% chance there will be “signs of life” in 2030 (4:06:20)
“When we’ve got our learning disabled toddler, we should really start talking about the safety and ethics issues, but probably not before then” (4:35:36)
These things will take thousands of GPUs, and will be data-center bound
“The fast takeoff ones are clearly nonsense because you just can’t open TCP connections above a certain rate” (4:36:40)
John Carmack
55-60% chance there will be “signs of life” in 2030 (4:06:20)
“When we’ve got our learning disabled toddler, we should really start talking about the safety and ethics issues, but probably not before then” (4:35:36)
These things will take thousands of GPUs, and will be data-center bound
“The fast takeoff ones are clearly nonsense because you just can’t open TCP connections above a certain rate” (4:36:40)
Broadly, he predicts AGI to be animalistic (“learning disabled toddler”), rather than a consequentialist laser beam, or simulator.
Approved! Will pay bounty.