Thanks for the collection! I wouldn’t be surprised if it links to something that tickles my sense of “high-status monkey presenting a cogent argument that AI progress is good,” but didn’t see any on a quick skim, and there are too many links to follow all of them; so, no bounty, sorry!
Yeah, if you have a good enough mental index to pick out the relevant stuff, I’d happily take up to 3 new bounty-candidate links, even though I’ve mostly closed submissions! No pressure, though!
I can provide several links. And you choose those that are suitable. If suitable. The problem is that I retained not the most complete justifications, but the most … certain and brief. I will try not to repeat those that are already in the answers here.
Maybe Abram Demski? But he changed his mind, probably. Well, Stuart Russell. But this is a book. I can quote.
I do think that I’m an optimist. I think there’s a long way to go. We are just scratching the surface of this control problem, but the first scratching seems to be productive, and so I’m reasonably optimistic that there is a path of AI development that leads us to what we might describe as “provably beneficial AI systems.”
There are also a large number of reasonable people who directly called themselves optimists or pointed out a relatively small probability of death from AI. But usually they did not justify this in ~ 500 words…
I have collected many quotes with links about the prospects of AGI. Most people were optimistic.
Thanks for the collection! I wouldn’t be surprised if it links to something that tickles my sense of “high-status monkey presenting a cogent argument that AI progress is good,” but didn’t see any on a quick skim, and there are too many links to follow all of them; so, no bounty, sorry!
My fault. I should just copy separate quotes and links here.
Yeah, if you have a good enough mental index to pick out the relevant stuff, I’d happily take up to 3 new bounty-candidate links, even though I’ve mostly closed submissions! No pressure, though!
I can provide several links. And you choose those that are suitable. If suitable. The problem is that I retained not the most complete justifications, but the most … certain and brief. I will try not to repeat those that are already in the answers here.
Ben Goertzel
Jürgen Schmidhuber
Peter J.Bentley
Richard Loosemore
Jaron Lanier and Neil Gershenfeld
Magnus Vinding and his list
Tobias Baumann
Brian Tomasik
Maybe Abram Demski? But he changed his mind, probably.
Well, Stuart Russell. But this is a book. I can quote.
There are also a large number of reasonable people who directly called themselves optimists or pointed out a relatively small probability of death from AI. But usually they did not justify this in ~ 500 words…
I also recommend this book.