Would I, epistemically speaking, be better off adopting the beliefs hold by all those who have recently voiced their worries about AI risks?
Yes, assuming we’re speaking about their actual beliefs, and not whatever mockery you make of them.
If I did that then I would end up believing that I was living in a simulation, in a mathematical universe, and that within my lifetime, thanks to radical life extension, I could hope to rent an apartment on a seastead on the high seas of a terraformed Mars. Or something along these lines.
I understand you’ve said your occupations have been “road builder, baker and gardener”. As long as we’re playing the status game, I think I’ll trust Elon Musk and Stephen Hawking to have a better epistemic understanding of reality in regards to cosmology or the far possibilities of technology than your average road builder, baker or gardener does.
You’re answering mockery with an ad hominem, for which there is no need. Refuting something just because it sounds strange is like “check mate in 1” for the opponent. By going personal it’s like snatching rhetorical defeat from the jaws of victory. It makes you look like you have no strong argument when in fact you do. It’s even contained in the ad hominem (“good understanding” etc.), but by making the matter personal you’re invalidating it.
Also, I very much doubt XiXiDu belongs in the reference class of “average road builder, baker or gardener”, just as you don’t belong in the “average Greek” reference class. I know you guys are strongly at odds, but do you think the average road builder uses “epistemically speaking” in their common parlance? Proof by active vocabulary.
Yes, assuming we’re speaking about their actual beliefs, and not whatever mockery you make of them.
I understand you’ve said your occupations have been “road builder, baker and gardener”. As long as we’re playing the status game, I think I’ll trust Elon Musk and Stephen Hawking to have a better epistemic understanding of reality in regards to cosmology or the far possibilities of technology than your average road builder, baker or gardener does.
You’re answering mockery with an ad hominem, for which there is no need. Refuting something just because it sounds strange is like “check mate in 1” for the opponent. By going personal it’s like snatching rhetorical defeat from the jaws of victory. It makes you look like you have no strong argument when in fact you do. It’s even contained in the ad hominem (“good understanding” etc.), but by making the matter personal you’re invalidating it.
Also, I very much doubt XiXiDu belongs in the reference class of “average road builder, baker or gardener”, just as you don’t belong in the “average Greek” reference class. I know you guys are strongly at odds, but do you think the average road builder uses “epistemically speaking” in their common parlance? Proof by active vocabulary.
Or alternatively the mockery created by dumping their beliefs down to a level where a reporter can understand them enough to write about them.