I do not think I claimed that Eliezer anticipated the modern revolution, and I would not claim that based on those quotes.
The point that I have been attempting to make since here is that ‘neural networks_2007’, and the ‘neural networks_1970s’ Eliezer describes in the post, did not point to the modern revolution; in fact other things were necessary.
I apologize if I have misunderstood your intended point. Thanks for the clarification. I agree with this claim (insofar as I understand what the 2007 landscape looked like, which may be “not much”). I think that the claim is not that interesting, though, but this might be coming down to semantics.
The following is what I perceived us to disagree on, so I’d consider us to be in agreement on the point I originally wanted to discuss:
I see your point that this is maybe a research taste question—even if it doesn’t point to the right idea directly, does it at least point there indirectly?--to which I think it is evidence against Eliezer’s research taste (on what will work, not necessarily on what will be alignable).
I’m not optimistic about people whose plan for building intelligence doesn’t route thru them understanding what intelligence is and how it works in a pretty deep way
Yeah. I think that in a grown-up world, we would do this, and really take our time.
On my understanding, things like logical induction and infrabayesianism look more like scheme B.
Nice, I like this connection. Will think more about this, don’t want to hastily unpack my thoughts into a response which isn’t true to my intuitions here.
I apologize if I have misunderstood your intended point. Thanks for the clarification. I agree with this claim (insofar as I understand what the 2007 landscape looked like, which may be “not much”). I think that the claim is not that interesting, though, but this might be coming down to semantics.
The following is what I perceived us to disagree on, so I’d consider us to be in agreement on the point I originally wanted to discuss:
Yeah. I think that in a grown-up world, we would do this, and really take our time.
Nice, I like this connection. Will think more about this, don’t want to hastily unpack my thoughts into a response which isn’t true to my intuitions here.