The degree to which 6-short is additionally worrying (once we’ve taken into account (1) and (3)) depends on the probability that the relevant agents will all choose to seek power in problematic ways within the relevant short period of time, without coordinating. If the “short period” is “the exact same moment,” the relevant sort of correlation seems unlikely.
Is this really true? It seems likely that some external event (which could be practically anything) plausibly could alert a sufficient subset of agents to all start trying to seek power as soon as they notice that event, and not before.
Is this really true? It seems likely that some external event (which could be practically anything) plausibly could alert a sufficient subset of agents to all start trying to seek power as soon as they notice that event, and not before.