I’m interested in hearing others responses to these questions:
What do you think will happen when I run the program, or its variants?
What other variants would you like to see tested?
As for this one:
*Is there a fundamental problem with the model?
As you know, that depends on what we want to use the model for. It ignores all sorts of structure in the real world, but that could end up being a feature rather than a bug.
I want to use it to try to get a grip on what conditions must be satisfied in order that people can expect to improve their accuracy on the problems discussed on LessWrong by participating in LessWrong; and whether accuracy can go to 1, or approaches a limit.
That reminds me; I need to add a sentence about the confidence effect.
I’m interested in hearing others responses to these questions:
As for this one:
As you know, that depends on what we want to use the model for. It ignores all sorts of structure in the real world, but that could end up being a feature rather than a bug.
I want to use it to try to get a grip on what conditions must be satisfied in order that people can expect to improve their accuracy on the problems discussed on LessWrong by participating in LessWrong; and whether accuracy can go to 1, or approaches a limit.
That reminds me; I need to add a sentence about the confidence effect.