Basically, with the assumption of this trend continues, there’s no criticality threshold that’s necessary for discontinuity, and the most severe issues of AI Alignment are in the FOOM scenario, where we only get one chance to do it right. Basically, this trend line shows no discontinuity, but continuously improving efforts, so there’s no criticality for FOOM to be right.
Basically, with the assumption of this trend continues, there’s no criticality threshold that’s necessary for discontinuity, and the most severe issues of AI Alignment are in the FOOM scenario, where we only get one chance to do it right. Basically, this trend line shows no discontinuity, but continuously improving efforts, so there’s no criticality for FOOM to be right.