No, it was and is a global treaty enforced multilaterally, as well as a number of bans on testing and arms reduction treaties. For each, there is a strong local incentive for states—including the US—to defect, but the existence of a treaty allows global cooperation.
With AGI, of course, we have strong reasons to think that the payoff matrix looks something like the following:
(0,0) (-∞, 5-∞) (5-∞, -∞) (-∞, -∞)
So yes, there’s a local incentive to defect, but it’s actually a prisoner’s dilemma where the best case for defecting is identical to suicide.
This is enforced by the USA though, and the USA is a nuclear power with global reach.
No, it was and is a global treaty enforced multilaterally, as well as a number of bans on testing and arms reduction treaties. For each, there is a strong local incentive for states—including the US—to defect, but the existence of a treaty allows global cooperation.
With AGI, of course, we have strong reasons to think that the payoff matrix looks something like the following:
(0,0) (-∞, 5-∞)
(5-∞, -∞) (-∞, -∞)
So yes, there’s a local incentive to defect, but it’s actually a prisoner’s dilemma where the best case for defecting is identical to suicide.