Why? Much of Ukraine’s defensive capability comes from its supply lines from the West. If my 2050 analysis is correct, China could easily knock out ships from America and Japan. Taiwan would have to operate without resupply.
My sense of it is that wars not turning out as you expected should decrease your confidence in wars turning out as you expect in the future, just for outside view reasons.
Why? Much of Ukraine’s defensive capability comes from its supply lines from the West. If my 2050 analysis is correct, China could easily knock out ships from America and Japan. Taiwan would have to operate without resupply.
My sense of it is that wars not turning out as you expected should decrease your confidence in wars turning out as you expect in the future, just for outside view reasons.