As I already explained, in the long term the decreasing population is indeed a boon for China, but it takes several generations for this to take effect, and in the mid term they will be struggling with the burden of massive numbers of retirees just as Japan has struggled.
I’m thinking #1 cannot possibly be your actual view. Are you trolling? What do you think the “schelling” army+support staff size that can defeat any larger army is?
War isn’t an RTS game, especially modern war. What do you expect the potentially 100 million strong Chinese army to do? Charge into Vietnam? Swim to the Strait of Malacca? China has always been the world’s most populous nation yet that did nothing to change the fact that it basically lost every single war from 1840 − 1945. Or for that matter, look at how China was frequently raided and sometimes even conquered in its ancient history by numerically vastly inferior nomadic tribes.
To be clear: you think:
Having more people to fight your war is a liability.
At the same time, even though China is decreasing in population, “it’s all downhill from here” for chinese military capability.
Absolutely. More mouths to feed.
As I already explained, in the long term the decreasing population is indeed a boon for China, but it takes several generations for this to take effect, and in the mid term they will be struggling with the burden of massive numbers of retirees just as Japan has struggled.
I’m thinking #1 cannot possibly be your actual view. Are you trolling? What do you think the “schelling” army+support staff size that can defeat any larger army is?
War isn’t an RTS game, especially modern war. What do you expect the potentially 100 million strong Chinese army to do? Charge into Vietnam? Swim to the Strait of Malacca? China has always been the world’s most populous nation yet that did nothing to change the fact that it basically lost every single war from 1840 − 1945. Or for that matter, look at how China was frequently raided and sometimes even conquered in its ancient history by numerically vastly inferior nomadic tribes.