great idea! since my metamed days i’ve been wishing there was a prediction market for personal medical outcomes — it feels like manifold mechanism might be a good fit for this (eg, at the extreme end, consider the “will this be my last market if i undertake the surgery X at Y?” question). should you decide to develop such aspect at one point, i’d be very interested in supporting/subsidising.
Yes, that’s absolutely the kind of prediction market we’d love to enable at Manifold! I’d love to chat more about specifically the personal medical use case, and we’d already been considering applying to SFF—let’s get in touch (I’m akrolsmir@gmail.com).
great idea! since my metamed days i’ve been wishing there was a prediction market for personal medical outcomes — it feels like manifold mechanism might be a good fit for this (eg, at the extreme end, consider the “will this be my last market if i undertake the surgery X at Y?” question). should you decide to develop such aspect at one point, i’d be very interested in supporting/subsidising.
Yes, that’s absolutely the kind of prediction market we’d love to enable at Manifold! I’d love to chat more about specifically the personal medical use case, and we’d already been considering applying to SFF—let’s get in touch (I’m akrolsmir@gmail.com).