I think the brief era of me looking at Kinsa weathermap data has ended for now. My best guess is that that covid spread among Kinsa users has been almost completely mitigated by the lockdown and current estimatess of r0 are being driven almost exclusively by other demographics. Otherwise, the data doesn’t really line up:
As of now, Kinsa reports 0% ill for the United States (this is likely just a matter of misleading rounding: New York county has 0.73% ill)
New York’s trend is a much more aggressive drop than what would be anticipated by Cuomo’s official estimate of r0=0.9.
None of these trends really fall in line with state-by-state r0 estimates[1] either
Georgia has the worst r0 estimate of 1.5 but Fulton County GA (Atlanta) has been flat at 0%ill since April 7 according to Kinsa
[1] Linking to the Twitter link because there is some criticism of these estimates: “They use case counts, which are massively and non-uniformly censored. A big daily growth rate in positive cases is often just testing ramping up or old tests finally coming back.”
I think the brief era of me looking at Kinsa weathermap data has ended for now. My best guess is that that covid spread among Kinsa users has been almost completely mitigated by the lockdown and current estimatess of r0 are being driven almost exclusively by other demographics. Otherwise, the data doesn’t really line up:
As of now, Kinsa reports 0% ill for the United States (this is likely just a matter of misleading rounding: New York county has 0.73% ill)
New York’s trend is a much more aggressive drop than what would be anticipated by Cuomo’s official estimate of r0=0.9.
None of these trends really fall in line with state-by-state r0 estimates[1] either
Georgia has the worst r0 estimate of 1.5 but Fulton County GA (Atlanta) has been flat at 0%ill since April 7 according to Kinsa
[1] Linking to the Twitter link because there is some criticism of these estimates: “They use case counts, which are massively and non-uniformly censored. A big daily growth rate in positive cases is often just testing ramping up or old tests finally coming back.”