That does seem like it may just work. It is also a case where TDT comes in handy. Causal reasoning would suggest that once you have already got your answer there isn’t any reason to actually make the scene (which could potentially give away your strategy.)
There are some limitations on working out whether the ‘weird’ is ‘good guesswork’ specifically but it certainly gives you some strong evidence.
That does seem like it may just work. It is also a case where TDT comes in handy. Causal reasoning would suggest that once you have already got your answer there isn’t any reason to actually make the scene (which could potentially give away your strategy.)
There are some limitations on working out whether the ‘weird’ is ‘good guesswork’ specifically but it certainly gives you some strong evidence.