I came to this post via a Google search (hence this late comment). The problem that Cyan’s pointing out—the lack of calibration of Bayesian posteriors—is a real problem, and in fact something I’m facing in my own research currently. Upvoted for raising an important, and under-discussed, issue.
I came to this post via a Google search (hence this late comment). The problem that Cyan’s pointing out—the lack of calibration of Bayesian posteriors—is a real problem, and in fact something I’m facing in my own research currently. Upvoted for raising an important, and under-discussed, issue.