Anyway, if the message someone received from Hanson’s writings on medicine was “yay Hanson”, and Scott’s response was “boo Hanson,” then I agree people should wait for Hanson’s rebuttal before being like “boo Hanson.”
But if the message that people received was “medicine doesn’t work” (and it appears that many people did), then Scott’s writings should be an useful update, independent of whether Hanson’s-writings-as-intended was actually trying to deliver that message.
But if the message that people received was “medicine doesn’t work” (and it appears that many people did), then Scott’s writings should be an useful update, independent of whether Hanson’s-writings-as-intended was actually trying to deliver that message.
The statement I was replying to was: “I’d bet at upwards of 9 to 1 odds that Hanson is wrong about it.”
If one is incorrect about what Hanson believes about medicine, then that fact is relevant to whether you should make such a bet (or more generally whether you should have such a strong belief about him being “wrong”). This is independent of whatever message people received from reading Hanson.
Rebuttal here!
Anyway, if the message someone received from Hanson’s writings on medicine was “yay Hanson”, and Scott’s response was “boo Hanson,” then I agree people should wait for Hanson’s rebuttal before being like “boo Hanson.”
But if the message that people received was “medicine doesn’t work” (and it appears that many people did), then Scott’s writings should be an useful update, independent of whether Hanson’s-writings-as-intended was actually trying to deliver that message.
The statement I was replying to was: “I’d bet at upwards of 9 to 1 odds that Hanson is wrong about it.”
If one is incorrect about what Hanson believes about medicine, then that fact is relevant to whether you should make such a bet (or more generally whether you should have such a strong belief about him being “wrong”). This is independent of whatever message people received from reading Hanson.
Yeah that’s fair! I agree that they would lose the bet as stated.