I’m curious if Redwood would be willing to share a kind of “after action report” for why they stopped working on ELK/heuristic argument inspired stuff (e.g Causal Scrubbing, Patch Patching, Generalized Wick Decompositions, Measurement Tampering)
My impression it is some mix of:
a. Control seems great
b. Heuristic arguments is a bad bet (for some of the reasons mech interp is a bad bet)
c. ARC has it covered
But the weighting is pretty important here. If its a. more people should be working on heuristic argument inspired stuff.
b. less people should be working on heuristic argument inspired stuff (i.e. ARC employees should quit, or at least people shouldn’t take jobs at ARC)
c. people should try to work at ARC if they’re interested, but its going to be difficult to make progress, especially for e.g. a typical ML PhD student interested in safety.
Ultimately people should come to their own conclusions, but Redwood’s considerations would be pretty valuable information.
I’m curious if Redwood would be willing to share a kind of “after action report” for why they stopped working on ELK/heuristic argument inspired stuff (e.g Causal Scrubbing, Patch Patching, Generalized Wick Decompositions, Measurement Tampering)
My impression it is some mix of:
a. Control seems great
b. Heuristic arguments is a bad bet (for some of the reasons mech interp is a bad bet)
c. ARC has it covered
But the weighting is pretty important here. If its
a. more people should be working on heuristic argument inspired stuff.
b. less people should be working on heuristic argument inspired stuff (i.e. ARC employees should quit, or at least people shouldn’t take jobs at ARC)
c. people should try to work at ARC if they’re interested, but its going to be difficult to make progress, especially for e.g. a typical ML PhD student interested in safety.
Ultimately people should come to their own conclusions, but Redwood’s considerations would be pretty valuable information.