The conjunction fallacy doesn’t apply to the right of the pipe
The intended meaning of the link was “generalised lesson of reasoning with conjunctions”. Since it is indeed possible to reformulate the message from the “IF THEN” format to probability assignments I can see how this could be misleading.
(I removed the link and now endorse the unadorned text.)
The intended meaning of the link was “generalised lesson of reasoning with conjunctions”. Since it is indeed possible to reformulate the message from the “IF THEN” format to probability assignments I can see how this could be misleading.
(I removed the link and now endorse the unadorned text.)