I think they are both perfectly reasonable statements about the models they prefer to imagine. They’re using probability terminology to give a sense of how much they like the model, not as any prediction—there’s no experience that will differ whether it’s true or false.
I think they are both perfectly reasonable statements about the models they prefer to imagine. They’re using probability terminology to give a sense of how much they like the model, not as any prediction—there’s no experience that will differ whether it’s true or false.