I have seen smart people say there is no way to assign probabilities to metaphysical ideas.
There’s objective probabilities and subjective probabilities, and there’s absolute probabilities and relative probabilities. So that’s four quadrants.
Subjective is easier than objective, and relative is easier than absolute. So subjective+relative is the easiest quadrant. Even if you are sceptical about absolute objective probability, you are still entitled to your own subjective opinion...for what it’s worth...because eveyone is.
(If it’s not obvious, the more difficult quadrants carry more weight).
There’s objective probabilities and subjective probabilities, and there’s absolute probabilities and relative probabilities. So that’s four quadrants.
Subjective is easier than objective, and relative is easier than absolute. So subjective+relative is the easiest quadrant. Even if you are sceptical about absolute objective probability, you are still entitled to your own subjective opinion...for what it’s worth...because eveyone is.
(If it’s not obvious, the more difficult quadrants carry more weight).