I still use this distinction in my thinking, but I guess I haven’t had any significant payoffs yet in terms of factoring the problem this way and then solving one part or another.
Basically, all-upside cases are cases which you can solve by “updatelessness without uncertainty”—you don’t have to make trade-offs, you just have to recognize the better strategy. This is kind of natural for logical updatelessness (you are still calculating your probabilities, so you don’t have probabilities yet, but you can make decisions anyway), but also kind of really unnatural (e.g., I don’t know how to make this fit well with logical induction).
I still use this distinction in my thinking, but I guess I haven’t had any significant payoffs yet in terms of factoring the problem this way and then solving one part or another.
Basically, all-upside cases are cases which you can solve by “updatelessness without uncertainty”—you don’t have to make trade-offs, you just have to recognize the better strategy. This is kind of natural for logical updatelessness (you are still calculating your probabilities, so you don’t have probabilities yet, but you can make decisions anyway), but also kind of really unnatural (e.g., I don’t know how to make this fit well with logical induction).