I’m not sure, re: whether your or ScottL’s compilations provide negative value. I definitely fall shy of recommending that they be posted, but I think I ALSO fall shy of anything like requesting that they be taken down. I think there’s probably a meaningful difference between CFAR publishing something, and friendly Less Wrongers being like, “Hey, here’s this thing I pulled together, hope it helps.” The risks I anticipate seem much stronger in the former case.
As for what “near” means, I predict with 70% confidence that we will publish more than 5000 words about actual CFAR content before the end of 2016. That’s a pretty weak prediction, I know, but also I’m not in a position to be very confident (given my naïveté). I will say that in the universes where we publish 5000 words, we’re also likely to publish a lot MORE.
I’m not sure, re: whether your or ScottL’s compilations provide negative value. I definitely fall shy of recommending that they be posted, but I think I ALSO fall shy of anything like requesting that they be taken down. I think there’s probably a meaningful difference between CFAR publishing something, and friendly Less Wrongers being like, “Hey, here’s this thing I pulled together, hope it helps.” The risks I anticipate seem much stronger in the former case.
As for what “near” means, I predict with 70% confidence that we will publish more than 5000 words about actual CFAR content before the end of 2016. That’s a pretty weak prediction, I know, but also I’m not in a position to be very confident (given my naïveté). I will say that in the universes where we publish 5000 words, we’re also likely to publish a lot MORE.