Even when it comes to Muslims, Trump isn’t good at that. Trump isn’t ready to say the obvious things like: “We shouldn’t sell weapons to governments who have supported ISIS finanically in the past. ” He rather makes a big deal about selling them weapons.
One of the big reasons for the Iraq war is that the CIA actually managed to believe that Iraq certainly has weapons of mass destruction. Tetlock writes over the case in Superforcasting and advocates that they need to make actual changes to be better at finding the truth.
Designing incentive structures to incentive the right behavior needs rational thought or you end up with the military who rewards it’s members for killing a lot of enemy which turns the relatives of the killed into enemies as well or policemen who are incentived by the number of arrests who then go on and arrest people don’t have to be arrested.
Even when it comes to Muslims, Trump isn’t good at that. Trump isn’t ready to say the obvious things like: “We shouldn’t sell weapons to governments who have supported ISIS finanically in the past. ” He rather makes a big deal about selling them weapons.
One of the big reasons for the Iraq war is that the CIA actually managed to believe that Iraq certainly has weapons of mass destruction. Tetlock writes over the case in Superforcasting and advocates that they need to make actual changes to be better at finding the truth.
Designing incentive structures to incentive the right behavior needs rational thought or you end up with the military who rewards it’s members for killing a lot of enemy which turns the relatives of the killed into enemies as well or policemen who are incentived by the number of arrests who then go on and arrest people don’t have to be arrested.