actually strongly disliked his verbose and provocative writing style at first but was drawn in by the content. I don’t agree with on everything but steel manning his missteps as much as I steel man the missteps of authors in Academia or pundits of the New York Times have found his models much better and superior at giving good predictions about political outcomes (for example the Arab Spring).
I was talking about using Moldbug’s model to make predictions, not using his predictions! Though the latter will often correlate with the former.
Sigh, another misreading of my post:
I was talking about using Moldbug’s model to make predictions, not using his predictions! Though the latter will often correlate with the former.