My guess is that the ideal is to have semi-independent teams doing research. Independence in order to better explore the space of questions, and some degree of plugging in to each other in order to learn from each other and to coordinate.
Are there serious info hazards, and if so can we avoid them while still having a public discussion about the non-hazardous parts of strategy?
There are info hazards. But I think if we can can discuss Superintelligence publicly, then yes; we can have a public discussion about non-hazardous parts of strategy.
Are there enough people and funding to sustain a parallel public strategy research effort and discussion?
I think you could get a pretty lively discussion even with just 10 people, if they were active enough. I think you’d need a core of active posters and commenters, and there needs to be enough reason for them to assemble.
My guess is that the ideal is to have semi-independent teams doing research. Independence in order to better explore the space of questions, and some degree of plugging in to each other in order to learn from each other and to coordinate.
There are info hazards. But I think if we can can discuss Superintelligence publicly, then yes; we can have a public discussion about non-hazardous parts of strategy.
I think you could get a pretty lively discussion even with just 10 people, if they were active enough. I think you’d need a core of active posters and commenters, and there needs to be enough reason for them to assemble.