It feels like the game is, I make the market, this is the first time they’ve ever heard this take. If I present it well, they bet the same way as me and I make no mana. If I present it poorly, they narcissize and bet badly, but there’s no guarantee they’ll reverse their bets long enough before the resolution date for it to make it worth it to me.
This is an odd game.
So I guess masterful play would be to present the issue in a way that convinces people that I’m wrong about it, but in a way that’s unstable and will reverse within a year.
A very odd game.
But not a meritless one. There’s probably a lot of social good to be produced by learning to clown people like that.
It feels like the game is, I make the market, this is the first time they’ve ever heard this take. If I present it well, they bet the same way as me and I make no mana. If I present it poorly, they narcissize and bet badly, but there’s no guarantee they’ll reverse their bets long enough before the resolution date for it to make it worth it to me.
This is an odd game.
So I guess masterful play would be to present the issue in a way that convinces people that I’m wrong about it, but in a way that’s unstable and will reverse within a year.
A very odd game.
But not a meritless one. There’s probably a lot of social good to be produced by learning to clown people like that.