The SSA vs SIA debate impacts both questions, but once you pick one of those then in Sleeping Beauty there’s a clear answer of 1⁄2 or 1⁄3, whereas in this problem the infinities continue to make it unclear what the probability should be.
The SSA vs SIA debate impacts both questions, but once you pick one of those then in Sleeping Beauty there’s a clear answer of 1⁄2 or 1⁄3, whereas in this problem the infinities continue to make it unclear what the probability should be.